Thursday, February 24, 2011

 

Killer weather slows down NYC

LOOKING AHEAD by Wally Dobelis





East Midtown New Yorkers have been brave this winter, taking record snowfalls and windstorms in their stride, going easy on the Mayor’s planners and not asking too many questions.



There are explanations for the cold and storms, if we are willing to be rational about it. The area of global warming is subject to the greatest political ploys, and the cold winter does not help. There are powerful deniers in office, and Sen. James Mountain Inhofe (R, OK 1988- ) Chairman of the Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works, is at work removing carbon dioxide regulations, He does not accept the scientific community’s findings of man-made damages to the environment, and has the campaign funds backing of the oil companies ($450K) and electric utilities ($200K_) to support him.



The scientific community is certain in the finding that the ice around the Arctic Circle has since 1979 (start of measuring) declined by more than 30 percent, using September as the bellwether month. Global warming around the North is causing it, and the open sea absorbs the heat, rather than reflecting it back into atmosphere, thus advancing the meltdown.

Researchers of the NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Radiation) offer the theory that the tight Arctic air vortex (circle) around the pole, called the jet stream, held in check by the cold, has been broken, and the cold forays down southward are clashing with the normal atmosphere, causing unseasonable frigid temperatures, storms, and downpours.

Last winter the cold related to the vortex hit it’s lowest since 1865, when recordkeeping began, and September 21010 was the warmest ever.

Atmospheric and Environmental Research in Lexington MA, a reputable private firm, offers the link between the breach in the Arctic air circle and increasing snow in Siberia. The declining Arctic ice is producing additional water in the atmosphere from the evaporations of the open sea, comparable to the lake effect for Buffalo and Syracuse in the US.

While the scientific community does not doubt that the greenhouse gasses released by human industry contribute to the warming of the atmosphere, they still do not know how it is distributed. Still, it makes sense to see that even if distributed equally, the greatest impact would be in the extreme areas, such as the Arctic Circle.

The year 2910 has been devastating. El Nino dumped Pacific heat t into the atmosphere, producing an agriculturally destructive heat wave in Russia, and all time high temperatures in 17 countries (NYC’s highest ever recorded), followed by devastating floods on Pakistan, China (250,000 buildings destroyed), Australia (Brisbane area flooded), and parts of the US. Luckily, we have the facilities and insurance to recover, unlike most of the world, and stockpiles of food.



I was looking through the internet to tighten up the number in the disasters, and found a site, Fire-Earth, that had detailed data for early 2010, including the numbers of houses destroyed in China , and the US states and governors who declared specific counties as disaster areas (Alabama, Florida, Minnesota, Colorado, Utah and then some). Fire Earth is apparently a volcanic activity observer, and also collects counts and dates of all types of ecological disasters. However, at the end of the long listing, looking to identify the authority of the resources, I found a humble request from a user to reprint data, in his church bulletin. In response, the FEWW (?) provided the following policy statement:



The Blog Moderators consider the institutionalized religion [The Church] as an antisocial, anti-spiritual weapon devised by the moneylenders to suppress the human race. If you are willing to quote the above statement alongside each portion of the Fire-Earth Disaster Calendar 2010 that you are seeking permission to quote, together with a link to the appropriate pages/posts and Blog’s copyright notice, you have the Moderators consent to quote the materials.



You really have to be paranoid not to go crazy in this world. These strange environmentalists - who also introduce their blog with a statement accusing the Google Mafia of censorship - put out valuable info that could help persuade the doubters about global warming. Yet, their inclusion of a statement of their emotional crude prejudice undermines the valuable data and put in doubt all those interesting little facts so painfully collected, and sworn to by the providers. I would not use them. Senator Jim Inhofe would certainly embrace Fire Earth as another evidence of Liberal lies, along with the baboons of East Anglia University who did the publishing of some selected data. That helps Imhofe in propagandizing the big denial of man-made climate changes,

as paid for by his oil and electric company contributors.



Speaking of earthquakes, the professional Columbia U Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, led by Dr. Wen-Young Kim, there since 1989 and currently the head of the seismographic network for the entire Northeast American region, states that NYC is due for its major quake, about every 100 years. The last, magnitude 5.5 tremor, was in 1884. This size quake will not destroy skyscrapers but will hurt brick buildings, and chimneys will topple. Kim is placing a larger seismograph network in NYC, for early warning. In recent years the Albany area has had more tremors – 24 in 2009, maximum magnitude 2.7, same in 2010. Stay alert, not to pack up, we are not Haiti; NYC is built on solid bedrock schist.



Wally thanks NYTimes, internet sources and NY Metro, a free daily doing quality reporting..

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